Gianmarco Ferrari vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Loureiro has a slightly stronger recent second serve performance, winning 42.92% of points as opposed to Ferrari's 41.74%. Given the high correlation of this stat to match outcomes, does this give Loureiro an edge? It might.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Loureiro is considerably stronger with a win rate of 56.22%, compared to Ferrari's 46.77%. On first serve returns, Ferrari slightly has the upper hand, winning 32.99% compared to Loureiro's 30.15%.
• Under pressure, Loureiro has saved 53.62% of breakpoints, which surpasses Ferrari's 49.01%, suggesting Loureiro performs better in critical moments.
• Loureiro's overall performance in the past year shows a higher match win percentage at 61.29%, compared to Ferrari's 53.06%.
• Examining surface preferences, Loureiro performs best on Hard courts with a 53% win rate, whereas Ferrari excels on Clay with a 55% win rate. Considering court surface may impact their performance.
• Both players have mostly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, but Loureiro has faced opponents of a higher average rank (98.76) compared to Ferrari (429.16), suggesting tougher competition.
• Deciding sets favor Loureiro slightly as well, given his 61% win rate in deciding sets over the last year, while Ferrari stands at 60%.
• Regarding break point conversion, Ferrari leads slightly with 40.58% compared to Loureiro's 33.82%, making Ferrari more efficient in capitalizing on these opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (June 5, 2025, UTC):

Loureiro exhibits a slight edge in second serve performance and a notable advantage in returning second serves, which are critical stats in tennis match predictions. His higher breakpoint save percentage illustrates greater resilience under pressure.

In terms of overall match-winning consistency over the past year, and considering the level of opponents faced, Loureiro holds a superior position. His ability to compete effectively in deciding sets further supports his potential to maintain cohesion under stressful play.

Despite Ferrari's efficiency in converting breakpoints and his preferred performance on Clay, the combination of Loureiro's strengths in returning serve and pressure play suggests that he holds a slight edge in this matchup.

Based on the statistics and recent form, Loureiro is most likely to win this upcoming tennis match.